The March WER report revisits our October 2016 five year forecast of production floater orders. Some assumptions underlying our forecast have been impacted – positively or negatively -- by developments over the past six months. They include a downturn in expected oil prices, an election in the US that has raised the prospects for accelerated US oil and gas E&D, a continued inability of Petrobras to regain traction following the corruption scandal, a more rapid expected increase in cost of capital and a faster pace of rebound in oil company capital spending. Given the changes, we provide an updated projection of orders over the 2017/21 time period. We also provide a list of more than 70 FPSO/FPU projects likely to move to the contracting stage over the next five years -- segmented into three time periods. In the data section of the report are details for 199 floater projects in the planning stage, 48 production or storage floaters now on order, 294 floating production units currently in service and 28 production floaters available for redeployment contracts. Charts in the report update the location where floating production and storage systems are being planned, operating, being built and to be installed. Accompanying excel spreadsheets provide the report data in sortable format. Information is current as of 20 March.

FORECASTS AND MARKET INTELLIGENCE FOR THE GLOBAL FLOATING PRODUCTION SECTOR

FPSOs, SEMIs, SPARs, TLPs, FLNGs, FSRUs, FSOs

This comprehensive business intelligence service and online database provides insider access to business and investment opportunities in the deepwater global floating production sector. There is nothing else like it anywhere

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The Only Floating Production Systems Market Intelligence that Offers:

  • Annual Five Year Market Forecast
  • Real Time, Interactive Online Database
  • Monthly Reports And Forecast Recalibration
  • Customer Support And Research Assistance

About International Maritime Associates and World Energy Reports:

International Maritime Associates and World Energy Reports have joined forces to provide the most sophisticated and in-depth Floating Production Systems reports, market outlook, analysis, daily intelligence and interactive database.   

Co-founder of World Energy Reports and spearheading the business intelligence gathering is managing director and founder of International Maritime Associates (IMA), Jim McCaul.  Jim has more than 30 years experience in the global maritime and offshore oil/gas industries, producing 50 multi-client industry reports on the floating production sector over the past 18 years.

IMA’s “floater reports” have been a major source of market intelligence in the offshore industry and the IMA annual forecast of equipment orders has been widely referenced in investment presentations, industry publications and other consulting firm reports. Jim has provided extensive market analysis and strategic planning to many of the world’s major field operators and offshore contractors.

The IMA/WER floating production business intelligence service provides a continuously updated wealth of data, insight, and analysis designed to keep you a step ahead of the competition in the deepwater business sector

FSPO Report 2015

2016 EDITION NOW AVAILABLE, ORDER TODAY!

FIVE YEAR MARKET FORECAST – 2016  EDITION

Analysis of Future Business Drivers and Forecast of Floating Production System Orders between 2016/2020

185 pages of analysis, data, charts and forecasts, all geared to provide the biggest, best and most comprehensive resource so that you can long-range plan to capture your share of the $100+ billion floating production system market over the next five years.

INCLUDES OVER 110 CHARTS, GRAPHS AND EXHIBITS

sample page from FSPO Report 2015

This report presents our five year forecast of floating production system orders. First we present an overview of the industry and our assessment of the underlying market situation likely to prevail over the 2016/20 forecast period. Then we provide our forecast of orders for eight types of production systems under three market scenarios. The final four sections of the report contain details for floating production systems in the planning stage, on order, in operation and available for redeployment.

Preview the report!  See the 2016 forecast outline and list of exhibits on pages 6 and 7.

COMPREHENSIVE MONTHLY ANALYSIS 

Our monthly reports provide a detailed snapshot of the business sector as of the middle of each month. More than 90 pages of data and industry analysis each month. Excel spreadsheets with each report enable subscribers to tailor the data presentation to their needs. In October of each year we provide a detailed five year forecast of production floater orders. In March of each year we fine tune the forecast and make revisions as needed.

ADVANCED INTERACTIVE DATABASE 

sample page from FSPO Report 2015

Custom, Interactive, & Exportable, Real Time Market Data, Charts & Analytics

The Floating Production Systems database is a major advancement in business intelligence in the floating production sector. Updated daily – 24/7/365 – courtesy of World Energy Reports’ global network of correspondents and analysts – the database is a powerful tool that enables you to research, discover and produce the information you need, when you need it, in the form you want to see it.

CREATE AND EXPORT CUSTOM CHARTS AND SPREADSHEETS

The online database is updated every day – with information direct from primary sources. In the database are details for 240 planned projects, 370 installations in service, 70+ floaters on order and 20+ floaters available. The database is fully searchable. Customized charts and spreadsheets can be directly produced from the database.

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Our market Intelligence comes with a complete customer support package. Jim McCaul and International Maritime Associates are available to assist with technical questions about information in the database and reports.  Our technical support staff is able to assist with any questions about using the online database, search tools or features.

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sample from FSPO Report 2015
  • The forecasts and market intelligence packages are utilized by top business planners and investment analysts in the market. Every day, representatives from banks and financial institutions, oil & gas companies, government agencies, equipment manufacturers, ship and offshore rig builders, construction agencies, and owners/operators access the market intelligence and forecasts they need for sound investment decisions.
  • The WER/IMA monthly reports provide more than 90 pages of data and industry analysis, presenting a detailed snapshot of the business sector as of the middle of each month. Excel spreadsheets with each report enable you to tailor the data presentation to your needs. In October of each year we provide a detailed five year forecast of production floater orders. In March of each year we fine tune the forecast and make revisions as needed.
  • The online database is updated every day – with information direct from primary sources. In the database are details for 240+ planned projects, 370+ installations in service, 70+ floaters on order and 20+ floaters available. The database is fully searchable. Personalized charts and spreadsheets can be directly produced from the database.
  • We offer full support to subscribers. We will assist with questions about information in the database and reports – and our IT manager will assist with any questions about using the database search tools.

Floating Production Systems – 2016 Five year forecast

Outline of the Report

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

II. OVERVIEW OF THE INDUSTRY

1. Types of Floating Production Systems

a. Oil/gas Production Units – FPSO, Semi, Spar, TLP, Barge

b. LNG Processing Units – FLNG, FSRU

2. Industry Expansion

3. Future Deepwater Development

III. UNDERLYING BUSINESS DRIVERS

1. Global Oil/Gas Demand Growth

2. Global Oil/Gas Production Growth

3. Risk of Future Supply Disruption

4. Expected Oil and Gas Prices

5. Competitiveness of Deepwater

6. Capex Budgets of Oil Companies

7. Supply Chain Constraints

8. Future Cost of Capital

9. The Problems of Petrobras

10. Unanticipated Events

11. Summing Up the Underlying Drivers

IV. FORECAST OF PRODUCTION FLOATER ORDERS

1. Forecast Scenarios

a. Most Likely Scenario

b. Low Scenario

c. High Scenario

d. Unanticipated Disruptive Events

2. FPSO Requirements

a. Overview of FPSOs

b. Location of FPSOs

c. Owners of FPSOs in Service and On Order

d. Growth in FPSO Inventory

e. Ten Year Trend in FPSO Orders

f. Profile of FPSOs Now Being Built

g. Planned FPSO Projects

h. Future FPSO Requirements

i. Timing of FPSO Orders

j. Composition of Future FPSO Orders

k. Projected FPSO Capex

l. Composition of Projected FPSO Capex

3. Production Semis

a. Overview of Production Semis

b. Location of Production Semis

c. Owners of Production Semis

d. Growth in Production Semi Inventory

e. Ten Year Trend in Production Semi Orders

f. Production Semis Now Being Built

g. Planned Production Semi Projects

h. Future Production Semi Orders

i. Composition of Future Semi Orders

j. Projected Production Semi Capex

4. Tension Leg Platforms

a. Overview of TLPs

b. Location of TLPs

c. Owners of TLPs

d. Growth in TLP Inventory

e. Ten Year Trend in TLP Orders

f. Profile of TLPs Now Being Built

g. Planned TLP Projects

h. Future TLP Requirements

i. Composition of Future TLP Orders

j. Projected TLP Capex

5. Spars

a. Overview of Production Spars

b. Location of Production Spars

c. Owners of Production Spars

d. Growth in Spar Inventory

e. Ten Year Trend in Spar Orders

f. Profile of Production Spars Now Being Built

g. Planned Spar Projects

h. Future Spar Requirements

i. Projected Spar Capex

6. Production Barges

a. Overview if Production Barges

b. Owners of Production Barges

c. Ten Year Trend in Barge Orders

d. Profile of Production Barges Now Being Built

e. Planned Barge Projects

f. Future Barge Orders Requirements

g. Projected Barge Capex

7. FLNGs

a. Overview of FLNGs

b. Owners of FLNGs

c. Trend in FLNG Orders

d. Planned FLNG Projects

e. Future FLNG Orders

f. Composition of Future FLNG Orders

g. Projected FLNG Capex

8. FSRUs

a. Overview of FSRUs

b. Owners of FSRUs Now in Service and On Order

c. Ten Year Trend in FSRU Orders

d. Planned FSRU Projects

e. Future FSRU Requirements

f. Composition of Future FSRU Orders

g. Projected FSRU Capex

9. FSOs

a. Overview of FSOs

b. Ownership of FSOs

c. Orders for FSOs

d. Planned FSO Projects

e. Future FSO Requirements

f. Composition of Future FSO Orders

g. Projected FSO Capex

V. PROJECTS IN THE PLANNING STAGE

VI. FLOATING PRODUCTION SYSTEMS ON ORDER

VII. INSTALLED SYSTEMS

VIII. AVAILABLE PRODUCTION FLOATERS

List of Exhibits

Exhibit 1. Summary of the 2016/20 Forecast of Production Floater Orders

Exhibit 2. Floating Production and Storage Units in Service, On Order and Available

Exhibit 3.  Major Milestones in Development of Floating Production

Exhibit 4. Four Decades of Growth in Floating Production Systems

Exhibit 5. Location and Water Depth of Planned Floating Production Projects

Exhibit 6. Growth in World Economic Output and Population

Exhibit 7. Projected Growth in Global Energy Demand

Exhibit 8. Annual Growth in Global Oil Demand over Past Two Decades

Exhibit 9. Projected Growth in Global Oil Demand

Exhibit 10. Annual Growth in Global Natural Gas Demand over Past Two Decades

Exhibit 11. Projected Growth in Global Natural Gas Demand

Exhibit 12. Ten Year Trend in US/Canada Oil Production

Exhibit 13. Projected US Natural Gas Production from Shale and Tight Rock Formations

Exhibit 14. Estimated Unplanned OPEC Crude Oil Production Outages

Exhibit 15. Unplanned Liquid Fuels Production Disruptions among Non-OPEC Producers

Exhibit 16. Global Chokepoints Where Oil Supply Disruption is a Possibility

Exhibit 17. Natural Gas Supply to Europe from Russia

Exhibit 18. Spot Price of Brent Crude over the Past Decade

Exhibit 19. Futures Price of Brent Crude for Delivery Through 2022

Exhibit 20. Spot Price of Henry Hub Natural Gas Since 1997

Exhibit 21. Futures Price of Henry Hub Natural Gas for Delivery Through 2022

Exhibit 22. Breakeven Prices of Sources of Oil Supply in 2020

Exhibit 23. Productivity and Cost Performance in Eagle Ford and Utica Shale Plays

Exhibit 24. Trend in Production per Rig on Shale Plays

Exhibit 25. Production Floater Backlog Peaks and Troughs

Exhibit 26. Slide in Petrobras’ Stock Price

Exhibit 27. Production Floater Forecast Assumptions

Exhibit 28. Pros and Cons of FPSOs

Exhibit 29. Where FPSOs are Currently Installed in North and South America

Exhibit 30. Where FPSOs are Currently Installed in Europe, Africa and Asia/Pacific

Exhibit 31. Ownership of FPSOs as of October 2015

Exhibit 32. Trend in Number of FPSOs in Service or Available

Exhibit 33. Number of FPSOs Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 34. Where FPSOs on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 35. Where FPSOs are now Being Built

Exhibit 36. Timing of FPSO Projects in the Planning Stage

Exhibit 37.  Projects in the Planning Stage Potentially Requiring an FPSO

Exhibit 38. Calculation of Projected FPSO Orders between 2016/20

Exhibit 39. Forecast of FPSO Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 40. Timing of FPSO Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 41. Projected FPSO Orders by Region 2016/20

Exhibit 42. Composition of FPSO Orders by Topsides Plant Capacity

Exhibit 43. Composition of FPSO Orders by New Hull, Conversion and Redeployment

Exhibit 44. Projected FPSO Capex over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 45. Composition of Projected FPSO Capex 2016/20

Exhibit 46. Pros and Cons of Production Semis

Exhibit 47. Owners of Production Semis as of October 2015

Exhibit 48. Trend in Number of Production Semis in Service or Available

Exhibit 49. Number of Production Semis Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 50. Production Semi Projects in the Planning Stage as of October 2015

Exhibit 51.  Where Production Semis are now Installed

Exhibit 52. Where Production Semis are now Being Built

Exhibit 53. Where Production Semis on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 54. Projects in the Planning Stage Potentially Requiring a Production Semi

Exhibit 55. Forecast of Production Semi Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 56. Composition of Production Semi Orders in the Three Scenarios

Exhibit 57. Projected Production Semi Capex over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 58. Pros and Cons of Tension Leg Platforms

Exhibit 59. Owners of Tension Leg Platforms as of October 2015

Exhibit 60. Trend in Number of TLPs in Service

Exhibit 61. Number of TLPs Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 62. Where TLPs are now Installed

Exhibit 63. Where TLPs are now Being Built

Exhibit 64. Where TLPs on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 65.Where TLPs are in the Planning Stage

Exhibit 66.Forecast of TLP Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 67. Pros and Cons of Production Spars

Exhibit 68. Owners of Production Spars as of October 2015

Exhibit 69. Trend in Number of Production Spars in Service

Exhibit 70. Number of Production Spars Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 71. Where Production Spars are now Installed

Exhibit 72. Where Production Spars are Currently Being Built

Exhibit 73 Where Production Spars on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 74. Forecast of Production Spar Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 75. Owners of Production Barges as of October 2015

Exhibit 76. Number of Production Barges Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 77. Where Production Barges are now Installed

Exhibit 78. Where Production Barges are now Being Built

Exhibit 79 Where Production Barges on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 80. Projects in the Planning Stage Potentially Requiring a Production Barge

Exhibit 81. Forecast of Production Barge Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 82. Owners of FLNGs as of October 2015

Exhibit 83. Number of FLNGs Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 84. Where FLNGs on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 85. Projects in the Planning Stage Potentially Requiring an FLNG

Exhibit 86. Forecast of FLNG Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 87. Composition of FLNG Orders in the Three Scenarios

Exhibit 88. Projected FLNG Capex over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 89. Owners of FSRUs as of October 2015

Exhibit 90. Trend in Number of FSRUs in Service

Exhibit 91. Number of FSRUs Ordered over the Past Ten Years

Exhibit 92. Where FSRUs are Now Installed

Exhibit 93. Where FSRUs are now Being Built

Exhibit 94. Where FSRUs Currently on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 95. Projects in the Planning Stage Potentially Requiring an FSRU

Exhibit 96. Forecast of FSRU Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 97. Composition of FSRU Orders in the Three Scenarios

Exhibit 98. Projected FSRU Capex over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 99. Where FSOs are now Installed

Exhibit 100. Where FSOs are Being Built or Converted

Exhibit 101. Where FSOs on Order are to be Installed

Exhibit 102. Projects in the Visible Planning Stage Potentially Requiring an FSO

Exhibit 103. Forecast of FSO Orders over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 104. Projected FSO Capex over the Next Five Years

Exhibit 105. Planned Projects by Water depth

Exhibit 106. Planned Projects by Region

Exhibit 107. Planned Projects – Europe, Asia and Africa

Exhibit 108. Planned Projects – North and South America

Exhibit 109. Where Floating Production and Storage Systems are to be Installed

Exhibit 110. Where Floating Production Systems and Storage Vessels are now Being Built

Exhibit 111. Where Floating Production and Storage Systems are Installed

The new Floating Production Systems Report – much like the market itself – is continuously changing. This Floating Production Systems report from World Energy Reports is unique in that it is not simply a static report, rather a dynamic and ever-changing database with a continuously updated wealth of data, statistics, exclusive insights and analysis and critical project management contacts designed to keep you a step ahead of the competition. Your Report, Your Way!

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